So Long Alexi: Why Mr Tsipras should lose this election

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Greece is facing the second election in 2015 already. Mr Tsipras faced with the disintegration of Syriza after the signing of the third Greek Bailout decided to cause an election by resigning and by refusing to join a different coalition with his remaining Syriza MPs.

I have explained elsewhere in this blog why I believed an election to be necessary. In summary I can say here that Greece suffers from a rift between those who want to remain in the Euro (no matter what) and those who want a return to the Drachma (no matter what the consequences). An election that pits those forces against each other would hopefully allow the winner to deal with the consequences of the decision (Drachma or Euro).

The current election is a lost opportunity, as no coalitions have emerged in clear support of either position. The new Laiki Enotita ( you have to admire the people who name a party ‘unity’ after splitting from someplace else), KKE and Golden Dawn support the Drachma, but are nowhere near united. Now what separates Lafazanes from Koutsoumpas other than history isn’t clear, but I don’t have the energy to go into it.

Nea Dimokratia, Potami and the washouts of the centre (Pasok, Dimar, Papandreou) should have joined in a grand coalition of intent, if not parliamentary representation. By the way, a formal coalition is not possible as the first party cannot benefit from the 50 bonus seats if they are not on their own (clever system right?). A statement of intent to cooperate post election, to support a Euro path would be good though. Only Potami has clearly stated an intent to cooperate with this aim in mind.

What about Mr Tsipras? With half of Syriza gone home or to Lafazanes and with ANEL unlikely to make it into the Parliament, how does Tsipras intend to become PM again? And why should he? Even if we don’t discuss his abysmal record in office, is there any point voting for Syriza now? Their reason for re-election seems to be the suggestion that a ‘left’ government can implement the horrors of Bailout3 better than a pro-euro (pro-austerity supposedly) coalition. Even if this were the case, why not do it now in the current Parliament under a coalition with Potami and Pasok?

Tsipras electoral gamble serves no purpose for the country. He ought to lose badly.

So long Alexi
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@iGlinavos

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15 thoughts on “So Long Alexi: Why Mr Tsipras should lose this election

  1. Bit surprised that your advise matches that of Dean Plassaras.

    Also not sure that the question you want to put to the electorate (in of out of the Euro) is the correct one or anyway helpful.

    If you ask the Greek if they want more austerity, they already have said no.
    If you ask the Greek if they want to leave the EMU they (most likely) will also say no.

    But I’m afraid nobody else is very much interested in what the Greek are saying nowadays.
    It now is a question of meeting agreed targets. And only a miracle can make that happen.

    Do you really believe that a 4 th bail-out program will be approved by the other EMU members?

    Do you really think that that all other governments will topple themselves in order to respect the unrealistic wishes of the Greek? I shouldn’t bet on it.

    Instead of holding elections Tsipras should have taken this advice.

    https://contradictingyanis.wordpress.com/2015/08/05/ramblings/

    Like

    • mikenetherlands says:

      What Dean and Yanis his spindoctor is writing on that blog is completely uninteresting. Many times before I said it’s better to close the comments and now I am saying it is better for Yanis yo close that blog. I am irritated that guy Dean is trying to tell us, european what we have to do and is insulting Germany and our politicians.
      Agee or don’t agree, but don’t insults us, Europeans!
      OK, enough Yanis. Have a nice holiday Yanis, refined yourself, and kick that spindockter out.

      I think for the Greek people it is crystal clear, they have to chance their country to can keep the euro. (what they want.) I am one of the few optimists. I think after this shock (Banks close etc.) things will chance dramatically now. The hope that things will chance itself has gone.

      Fore myself it is unbelievable, but I hope for a coalition ND-To Potami. and I think the politicians learned there lessons. People can chance and many of the politicians are replaced.

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    • LeaNder says:

      Bit surprised that your advise matches that of Dean Plassaras.

      Does it?

      only noticed this, and admittedly was a bit surprised. So, it’s only about power and letting others do the more unpopular things? OK, up to the point where he returned to his good old scapegoat, I was surprised. Seemed less polemical then his average comments.

      A German journalist accompanied Schäuble during the last few month and did a portrait for the first public channel. In Washington he stumbled across Yanis and asked him if he would agree to do an interview. The both had left the IWF building for a cigarette outside. Yanis answer apparently was: That’s interesting. Let’s talk.

      Both the interview and the Schäuble portrait were aired recently. The YV interview first on Phoenix, which belongs into the larger public first channel network, I think. I wish they had put up the English original up, but here is the German version: Varoufakis: Das Interview

      You may be interested in this, Pim.
      Jeffrey Sachs, Parallel currency would have led to Grexit, says

      ******
      back on topic. I really wonder whose idea the odd referendum was, maybe since I happen to agree with Iannos, a new coalition minus the Syriza dissenters or Λαϊκή Ενότητα-Volkseinheit, sounds undemocratic to German ears 😉 – would have been the better choice.

      The idea behind both referendum and new election seems to be to not give voters too much time to form an opinion on matters.

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      • I only wanted to point out that the other EMU partners couldn’t care less what the Greek would vote. Much to the chagrin of Yanis, the election result won’t change the agreement on bail-out 3.

        You either comply of you don’t. No EMU partner can afford to go to his parliament and ask for support for a 4th bail-out.

        So the loony left may loose the election, but still win the day. And perhaps it is a good thing that Greece faces some harsh realities that makes them decide, none of this bullshit anymore.

        The link with Das Interview doesn’t work, you’ve got another one?

        Like

  2. mikenetherlands says:

    You can find the interview on the blog of Yanis. And, in that interview is the answer of all questions. Do I trust Yanis? Yes, of course I trust Yanis, I even compared him with my father, a briljant professor but absolute a lousy politician. Do I trust the Greek government and the Greek politicians? No way! Never! Not one. So, the Trojka is right and Schauble too. This is there last chance, if they blow it, just like Pim is saying, a 4 th bail-out program is out f the question. In that case the drachme is waiting for Greece.

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  3. It’s important now that the implementation momentum of the 3rd bailout program is maintained until a (hopefully capable, stable and vigorous) new gov’t is formed.

    Apparently, according the (sparse) info that I find on the web about the new Finance Minister in the caretaker cabinet, Mr Giorgios Houliarakis, should be up to the task. Let’s back him in thoughts with our moral support.

    Continuity is maintained since he cooperated closely with his FM predecessors in the negotiations with the institutions, see for instance various articles in the English web edition of To Vima
    http://www.tovima.gr/international/tag-search/Houliarakis/

    Also the chairman of the eurogroup (Dijsselbloem) is positive about this appointment. “(Houliarakis) knows what he’s doing because he was top man in the ministry for the past year-and-a-half,” Dijsselbloem said.
    http://www.ekathimerini.com/201047/article/ekathimerini/business/greeces-invisible-negotiator-may-assuage-bailout-fears-in-election-runup

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  4. Meanwhile: in Rome, Milan and Naples, do as the Romans, the Milanese and the Neapolitans… (of course, Florence and Catania are still different, and yet so very much of the same)

    http://www.the-american-interest.com/2015/08/31/defying-the-eu-the-italian-way/

    Excerpt> There probably is no magic meeting place that makes both sides happy; the German proposal is that the Italians reform to fit the euro and the Italian counter-proposal is that they pretend to reform and the Germans pretend to believe.

    A little confession about me:

    – From the perspective of Rome, I’m living at the wrong side of the Alps
    – From the perspective of Madrid, I’m living at the wrong side of the Pyrenees
    – From the perspective of Berlin, I’m living at the wrong side of the Rhine
    – From the perspective of London, I’m living at the wrong side of the Channel
    – From the perspective of Washington, I’m living at the wrong side of the Atlantic
    – And last (but not least) from the perspective of The Hague, I’m living at the wrong side of “de Moerdijk”

    Being at the wrong sides of everything helps a little to understand the other sides. But fortunately I’m not living in Paris (also at the same wrong sides), because Paris is too full of itself to understand anything else. Bien sûr, mes amis Parisiens comprennent bien que je blague.

    Liked by 1 person

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