Greeks have not the slightest idea of how close they came to annihilation, neither do they appreciate how fast the chasm can open again.
I have argued on this blog that the country has failed and that to overcome this failure people need first to admit to it. There is no evidence that this is happening. I am currently in Greece and walking around town I see a lot of people having fun, a lot of conspicuous consumption and a very relaxed attitude.
This is not to say that one does not see evidence of crisis in closed shops and abandoned streets. The problem is that there are no signs of a change of mentality. No recognition that life as usual is not possible, no desire for adjustment.
OK, you could argue that I do not see it because I am rich, vacationing in a rich part of town surrounded by locals with money. Perhaps, but think about the way the election campaign is going.
I had argued that an election right now only makes sense if parties align themselves along Drachma vs Euro lines. This is not happening. The only party (KKE and Golden Dawn aside) to talk openly about a return to the Drachma is Lafazanes splinter group. I hope that once the election date is set, they will delight us with some detail on their Grexit plan.
Syriza is planning to ask for a renewed mandate devoid of content. Is Mr Tsipras asking for the vote as a better implementer of Bailout 3 than ND? Someone said on twitter that Lafazanes will run as Syriza from January and Syriza will run as Pasok from 2012.
ND has failed to lead the pro-euro group by joining with potami and other ‘cooperation prone’ parties. Pasok tries to form a ‘third pole’ (τρίτος κώλος a friend said) with other losers like Papandreou in order to keep their presence in Parliament. Potami is willing to deal with everyone in a Euro alliance, but increasingly lacks a defined character.
The consequence is this: a strong anti-euro message against a confused business as usual tone. An electorate that missed the gravity of what happened in June is likely to vote again for a proud OXI. This is not a good outcome.
Grexit needs to be the choice of an informed people, ready for the consequences. If Lafazanes and his merry band of Balkan Leninists take us down this route, there will be a very rude awakening to come.